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ECON 30013/90075 Economic Analysis and Policy Semester 1, 2022
发布时间:2022-05-26
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Economic Analysis and Policy
ECON 30013/90075
Semester 1, 2022
Practice examination
The final examination constitutes 60 per cent of the overall grade in the subject. Passing the subject requires obtaining a pass grade (50 per cent or above) on the final examination. Marks on the final examination are out of 60 total marks. You must answer all questions.
Questions 1 to 10 are short-answer questions. Each question is worth 3 marks. Total marks for questions 1 to 10 are 30. The expected length of answer for each question is indicated.
Questions 11 to 13 are based on the article ‘Further evidence for the efficacy of an evidence-based, small-group, literacy intervention program for young struggling readers’, by Kevin Wheldall, Robyn Wheldall, Alison Madelaine, Meree Reynolds and Sarah Arekelian (Australian Journal of Learning Difficulties, 2017) that is available in the Final Examination Module on the LMS site. Total marks for questions 11 to 13 are 15.
Questions 14 to 17 are based on information provided with the questions. Total marks for questions 14 to 17 are 15.
Questions
1] (3 marks) In each of the problems described below, suggest a type of market failure that could justify government intervention by the Ozland government (1-2 sentences for each problem):
a] A merger between the two largest retail supermarkets in Ozland is proposed; b] Information on the amount of sugar on energy drinks is not being provided by manufacturers; and
c] Due to the prospect of employees being ‘poached’ away by other employers, their current employers provide them with little on-the-job training.
2] (3 marks) Briefly discuss two examples of policy-making where government faces a trade-off between its objectives of efficiency – such as acting to correct market failure - and equity - that is, achieving a distribution of income that society considers ‘fair’ (1-2 sentences for each example).
3] (3 marks) Suppose the Ozland government introduces an indirect tax of $1 on a good where the producer price prior to the tax is $5. Suppose also that the price-elasticity of demand is: -1/2 and the price elasticity of supply is: 1/2.
a] What will be the deadweight loss of imposing the indirect tax as a share of sales revenue?
b] Briefly explain why and in what direction the size of the deadweight loss depends on (i) the price elasticity of demand and supply; and (ii) the ratio of the indirect tax to the producer price (1-2 sentences for each part).
4] (3 marks) Suppose the Ozland government wants to introduce a policy to decrease the incidence of excessive gambling by individuals on poker machines. It is considering: (i) A message on poker machines that appears before each gamble about the average outcome being for a gambler to lose money; or (ii) A limit on the maximum amount of money that can be bet on any individual gamble on a poker machine (for example, one dollar). Use economic analysis to make two arguments supporting one of these policy options as the preferred option for the Ozland government (1-2 sentences for each argument).
5] (3 marks) The article ‘Kids falling behind…’ (The Australian, 26 August 2021) uses data on NAPLAN test results chart below to argue that Victorian students fell behind compared to students in other states during the COVID pandemic in 2020-21. Do you think there are problems in drawing this conclusion from the data presented in the chart? (3-4 sentences)
6] (3 marks) The Ozland government is evaluating whether to continue with its sponsorship of the Ozland Grand Prix. As part of the evaluation it asks you to prepare a cost-benefit analysis of the event. To assist you in doing this it nominates what it regards as the main types of benefits and costs, shown in the table below:
Benefits |
Costs |
Revenue from tourism |
Labour costs of running the event |
Revenue from broadcast rights and ticket sales |
Disruption to other economic activity (due to closure of the central business district) |
Improvements in quality of urban transport network |
Negative impacts on the psychological well-being of nearby residents |
Briefly describe three main issues that you would need to address in estimating the monetary value of benefits and costs of the Ozland Grand Prix (3-4 sentences).
7] (3 marks) Suppose individuals initially have a willingness to pay (WTP) for a service, dental care, that is below the true value they derive from the service. Suppose that a government information campaign induces consumers to shift their WTP for dental care from the initial level to the true value. Assume that the market for healthcare is perfectly competitive. Use the numbered areas in the diagram below to describe how the policy will affect: (i) consumer surplus; (ii) producer surplus; and (iii) total surplus for society.
Q* Q**
8] Briefly describe behavioural rationales for the following government policies (1-2 sentences for each policy):
a] Making it mandatory for electricity retailers to include in their bills information on the amount a household would have been charged on that bill if they were on the plan that would be cheapest for them;
b] Personalised letters to doctors who are prescribing high volumes of antibiotics to patients including information on their own prescribing behaviour relative to their peers; and
c] A transition to a new online method for businesses to report payroll expenses to the Australian Tax Office being made the default (with the option to opt-out and choose to remain with the current reporting method).
9] The distribution of individual income in Ozland is described in the table below which shows the level of income for each of the five individuals who live in Ozland:
a] What is the Gini coefficient for each of the two measures of income in the table? b] What does the Gini coefficient for each of the income measures imply about the effect of government transfer and tax policy on inequality in Ozland?
Individual |
Market income |
Disposable income = Market income + Transfers – Income tax |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
10] (3 marks) Examine the graph provided below. Suggest three ways the graph can be modified to improve its effectiveness in conveying information about employment per plant? (3-4 sentences)
Questions 11 to 13 are based on the report ‘Further evidence for the efficacy of an evidence-based, small-group, literacy intervention program for young struggling readers’, by Kevin Wheldall, Robyn Wheldall, Alison Madelaine, Meree Reynolds and Sarah Arekelian (Australian Journal of Learning Difficulties, 2017) which is available in the Final Examination Module of the LMS site.
11] (3 points) Describe the MiniLit program received by the students and the main conclusions reached by the researchers about the impact of the program.
12] (7 points) Describe the method used by the researchers to estimate the impact of the MiniLit program. [Note: By method I am meaning aspects such as the sample, outcome measures and empirical approach for estimating the impact of the program.] What do you think are potential problems with using the method taken by the researchers to evaluate MiniLit? [Note: As well as saying what you think is a problem, it is important to explain why you think it is a problem.]
13] (5 points) Suppose that prior to implementation of the MiniLit program you had been invited to make recommendations on how to evaluate its impact. Outline your main recommendations with some brief supporting argument for each recommendation.
Questions 14 to 16 are based on the following information:
Individuals in Ozland must decide each year whether to have an annual influenza vaccination. The PMB and SMB from vaccination for individuals in Ozland are:
PMB = 200 – Q
SMB = 300 – Q
Where Q = number of individuals in Ozland who choose to have the vaccination. The PMC (and SMC) of vaccination are: Q/4.
The Ozland government has the opportunity to implement alternative policies to increase the number of individuals being vaccinated (if that is needed). It can: i] Run an information campaign that will shift the PMB to 250 – Q at a cost of 7500; or ii] Provide a subsidy of 50 per individual who is vaccinated.
14] (2 points) What are the privately optimal and socially optimal numbers of individuals who will have the annual vaccination?
15] (4 points) If the only possible policy available to the Ozland government is the information campaign, is it socially optimal to use that policy? [That is, is the gain in surplus to society larger or smaller than the cost of the information campaign?]
16] (4 points) If the government can choose only one policy out of the information campaign and subsidy, which should it choose if its objectives are to: (i) maximise society’s well-being; and (ii) minimise the budgetary cost of intervention?
As well as the information used in questions 14 to 16, question 17 is based on the following extra information:
It is possible to distinguish two types of individuals in Ozland: young and old. For the young: PMB = 50 - Q and SMB = 75 – Q. For the old PMB = 150 – Q and SMB = 200 – Q. The PMC (= SMC) for each separate group is Q/4. Assume that the only policy available to the government is a subsidy.
17] (5 points) What trade-off does the government face in choosing a single rate of subsidy? Give an intuitive argument for why society’s well-being would be maximised by setting a subsidy of 50 (that is, it is sufficient to give an explanation without needing to calculate the total amounts of surplus for alternative rates). Could this result change if society put different weights on the well-being (amount of surplus) going to the young and old?