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Basic Econometrics

Research Report Group Assignment

This is a group assignment where you are allowed to work in groups of 1-4 other students. All group members will receive the same marks for the assignment.  You must submit an electronic copy of your  assignment in Canvas in pdf, doc or docx format along with your R-code. Hard copies will not be accepted. Show your calculations (if any) as well as answering the questions in clear full sentences. The number of   tables, graphs, calculations given in parentheses after each question are a guide.

What determines the share of population who cannot afford a healthy diet?

For this home assignment you will be required to model the share of population worldwide who cannot afford a healthy diet.

Please use the file: Nutrition_data.Rdata (World Bank Database – 2017 values). Please read the description  at the end of this document to understand the variables. In this home assignment we are going to model the share of the population whose food budget is below the cost of a healthy diet (dependent variable).

QUESTION 1

Please model the share of the population whose food budget is below the cost of a healthy diet (who cannot afford a healthy diet) using R:

a)   Include a minimum of 5 (five) explanatory variables in the regression equation and provide a scatter

plot of your dependent and independent variables (5 scatter plots). (0.5 x 5 marks) DO NOT USE regional dummies in this specification!

When modelling, explain each of your functional form specification choices with respect to:

•    Economic or common sense behind the model - why do you pick this variable? (0.5 x 5 marks)

•    Multicollinearity are the independent variables multicollinear? (0.5 x 5 marks)

•    Functional form specification- potential nonlinear relationships, eg: log-linear or quadratic      relationships. Explain why you use a level or logarithmic form of a variable. (0.5 x 5 marks)

in writing. You will be graded on model accuracy in this section.

Use OLS standard errors.

(Subtotal: 10 marks) 1 Table [regression output] & Explanations, 6 scatter plots

b) Interpret the coefficients on 5 explanatory variables. Describe if the coefficients are elasticities or semi-elasticities, or simple level coefficients.

(5 marks)

c) Interpret the statistical significance of these coefficients using the p-values OR the t-stat. (5 marks)

d)   Test for heteroscedasticity in R using the Breusch-Pagan test and copy below the results. Interpret the results of the Breusch Pagan test.

(2 marks) 1 Table & Explanation

e)   Present the results from a) using HAC robust errors! Did any of the standard errors change significantly?

(3 marks) 1 Table & Explanations

f)   Explain MLR 4, and whether this is likely to hold in your model? Can you identify any omitted variables? (3 marks)

g)   Please add regional dummies (Region) to the regression you estimated in section (a), and interpret the coefficients on the regional dummies, along with their levels of significance.   (3 marks) New regression table, with dummy interpretation.

Test the joint significance of the regional dummies in the model! You can either perform the test        manually and show your work down below, OR do it in R and copy the solution code and output here.

(2 marks for the output & 2 mark for the interpretation)

(Subtotal: 7 marks)

h)   Explain the basic concept of an instrumental variable estimation, and when to use it. (2 marks)

. i) Explain the practical/ policy relevance of your results. Describe a minimum of 2 policy proposals [

each 2-3 sentences] aiming at reducing the share of population that cannot afford a healthy diet!

(3 marks)

Assignment total: 40 marks

VARIABLE DESCRIPTIONS: Source: www.worldbank.org


Cost of a healthy diet

Cost of the least expensive locally-available foods to meet       requirements for food-based dietary guidelines, in current PPP dollar/person/day, for a representative person within energy    balance at 2330 kcal/day.


Percent of population with low food budget

(DEPENDENT VARIABLE)

The share of the population whose food budget is below the    cost of a healthy diet. The food budget is defined as 52% of    household income, based on the average share of income that households in low-income countries spend on food. Income    data are provided by the World Banks Poverty and Inequality Platform. A value of zero indicates a null or a small number    rounded down at the current precision level.


Agriculture, forestry, and fishing, value added (% of GDP)

Agriculture, forestry, and fishing corresponds to ISIC            divisions 1-3 and includes forestry, hunting, and fishing, as   well as cultivation of crops and livestock production. Value  added is the net output of a sector after adding up all outputs and subtracting intermediate inputs. It is calculated without   making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or     depletion and degradation of natural resources. The origin of value added is determined by the International Standard        Industrial Classification (ISIC), revision 4. Note: For VAB   countries, gross value added at factor cost is used as the         denominator.


Government expenditure on education, total (% of GDP)

General government on                   (current,


Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)

Exports of goods and services represent the value of all goods and other market services provided to the rest of the world.     They include the value of merchandise, freight, insurance,      transport, travel, royalties, license fees, and other services,      such as communication, construction, financial, information,  business, personal, and government services. They exclude     compensation of employees and investment income (formerly called factor services) and transfer payments.


GNI per capita, PPP (current

international $)

This indicator provides per capita values for gross national      income (GNI. Formerly GNP) expressed in current                   international dollars converted by purchasing power parity (PPP) conversion factor. GNI is the sum of value added by all resident producers plus any product taxes (less subsidies) not  included in the valuation of output plus net receipts of primary income (compensation of employees and property income)      from abroad. PPP conversion factor is a spatial price deflator   and currency converter that eliminates the effects of the           differences in price levels between countries.


Industry (including construction), value added (% of GDP)

Industry (including construction) ISIC