ECON8037: Financial Economics Assignment 1 2022
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ECON8037: Financial Economics
Assignment 1
2022
EXERCISE 1: (10 Marks) Consider a representative agent who lives for two periods. This agent is endowed with income y0 and consumes c0 and purchases shares π at price po in the first period. This agent does not receive an endowment in the second period and therefore must use the shares purchased in the first period to fund their consumption in the second period. In the second period, this agent can sell their shares at price p1 and they receive a risky divided d1 from the asset. The agent enjoys utility u : R+ → R+, where u\ > 0 and u\\ < 0 and therefore the agents problem is given by
max {u(c0 ) + βE0u(c1 )}
{c0 ,c1 ,π}
Subject to
c0 + πp0 ≤ y0 and c1 ≤ π (d1 + p1 )
Where β ∈ (0, 1) is the subjective discount factor (which captures the agents prefer- ence of time), and E0 is the expectations operator conditional on information available at time 0
Show that the solution of the agent’s problem delivers the two-period version of the fundamental asset pricing equation, i.e.
p0 = E0m1g1
Where
u\ (c1 )
m1 = β u\ (c0 ) and g1 = d1 + p1
EXERCISE 2: (5 Marks) We can generalise the fundamental asset pricing equation in the following way
pt = Etmt+1gt+1
Where
mt+1 = β u\ (ct) and gt+1 = dt+1 + pt+1
mt+1 is known as the stochastic discount factor. Let τ := ct+1/ct be the growth rate of consumption. Given the following CRRA utility function
c1−γ − 1
γ → 1 1 − γ
Explain how the correlation between consumption growth τ and gt+1 effects the price of the asset and what this implies about how this agent thinks about risk.
EXERCISE 3: (5 Marks) Consider again the the fundamental asset pricing equa- tion
pt = Etmt+1gt+1
But, in this case
mt+1 = β and gt+1 = dt+1 + pt+1
Suppose we have a non-random dividend stream i.e. dt = d > 0 for all t. Show that the equilibrium asset price in this case is given by
βd |
1 − β |
Hints: Use this closed form of an infinite horizon geometric series
= 1 + r + r2 + ...
And also note
lim βk−1pt+k = 0
EXERCISE 4: (10 Marks) Again, given the the fundamental asset pricing equation
pt = Etmt+1gt+1
Again, where
mt+1 = β and gt+1 = dt+1 + pt+1
And defining the price dividend ratio vt := pt/dt . Consider a growing, non-random dividend process dt+1 = κdt where 0 < κβ < 1. Show that if vt = v that the price dividend ratio can be given by
βκ
v =
Also, if we let κ = 1 + ϕ and let ρ := 1/β − 1, show that the price is given by the
Gordon formula
1 + ϕ
ρ − ϕ
EXERCISE 5: (10 Marks) Write a Python script that
1. Plots the price given by the Gordon formula as a function of dt . Suppose that β = 0.96 and ϕ = −0.1 (4 Marks)
2. Plots how the Gordon formula price changes for ϕ values −0.1, −0.2, ..., −0.9 as a function of dt (3 Marks)
3. Plots how the Gordon formula price changes for β values 0.91, 0.92, ..., 0.99 as a function of dt (3 Marks)
Comment on your results
EXERCISE 6: (20 Marks) Consider a consumer that has preferences over con- sumption stream that are ordered by the utility functional
E0 [ βtu(ct )]
Where Et is the mathematical expectation conditioned on the consumer’s time t in- formation. ct is time t consumption. u is a strictly concave one-period utility function and β ∈ (0, 1) is the subjective discount factor. For the purposes of this problem, let us assume (1 + r)−1 = β . The consumer maximises this stream of utility by choos- ing a consumption, borrowing plan {ct,bt+1} subject to the sequence of budget constraints
ct + bt = bt+1 + yt, t ≥ 0
Where yt is an exogenous endowment process, r > 0 is a time-invariant risk-free net interest rate, bt is one period risk-free debt maturing at t. The consumer also faces initial conditions b0 and y0 , which can be fixed or random.
Regarding preferences, we assume the quadratic utility function
u(ct) = −(ct− V)2
Where V is a bliss level of consumption. Finally, we impose the no Ponzi scheme condition.
E0 [ βt bt(2)] < ∞
This condition rules out an always-borrow scheme that would allow the consumer to enjoy bliss consumption forever.
1. Observe that limt→∞β 2 bt+1 = 0. Show that the debt path is given by
∞
bt = z βj (yt+j − ct+j)
j=0
(5 Marks)
2. Show that optimal consumption is given by
ct = (1 − β) βjEt[yt+j] − bt = βjEt[yt+j] − bt
Comment on this equation. What does it imply about optimal consumption (15 Marks)
2022-08-18