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Semester Two 2020

Exam - Alternative Assessment Task - Main

ETF1100

Business Statistics

Question 1

(a)  Let us begin by looking at some statistics on covid-19 for Australia and the United States

shown in Exhibit 1. This data is for 2 October 2020.

Exhibit 1

Country

Population

Total Cases

Total

Deaths

Total Cases per Million

Total Deaths per Million

Australia

25,499,881

27,136

894

1,064.162

35.059

United States

331,002,647

7,417,845

209,794

22,410.229

633.814

(i).          Is it useful to compare total cases in Australia with those in the United States? Explain your answer and how the countries could be better compared.

No, not particularly useful.

The United States has a much larger population than Australia so the total number of cases will naturally be higher. A better comparison is on a per million (persons) basis.

(2 marks)

(ii).        With reference to Exhibit 1, outline how “Total Cases per Million” is calculated for

Australia from the other data in the table.

Total cases per million for Australia = 27,136 / ( 25,499,881/1,000,000 ) = 1,064.162

(2 marks)

(iii).       Explain what Total Deaths per Million” measures and compare this statistic for

Australia and the United States.

Total deaths per million is the number of persons who have died of covid-19 per million persons in the population.

There have been 633.814 deaths per million persons in the United States. This is much larger than the 35.059 deaths per million in Australia

(2 marks)

(iv).       A further important statistic, which is not shown in Exhibit 1, is the death rate per

covid-19 case. Using the numbers in Exhibit 1 calculate this figure for Australia and the United States and compare the numbers.

Australia: 894 / 27,136 = 0.032945 (3.3%)

United States: 209,794 / 7,417,845 = 0.028282 (2.8%)

Interestingly, Australia has had a higher death rate than the United States.

(2 marks)

(b)  In Exhibit 2 we outline some summary statistics across all countries, for a single day (2

October 2020), on total deaths and total deaths per million persons.

Exhibit 2

total_deaths total_deaths_per_million


Mean

4899.516746 Mean 126.5259139

Standard Error

Median

Mode

Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness Range Minimum Maximum

Sum

Count

1399.483337 138 0

20232.0959 409337704.6 61.68438692 7.319112388 207808

0

207808

1023999

209

Standard Error

Median

Mode

Standard Deviation Sample Variance Kurtosis Skewness

Range

Minimum

Maximum

Sum

Count

13.90254442 37.485 0

200.9867531 40395.67491 7.071985387 2.496156331 1237.551

0 1237.551 26443.916

209

(i).          How many countries are included in the data?

There are 209 observations/countries in the data. This is reflected in the value of Count” .

(1 mark)

(ii).        Are the two variables skewed and if so in what direction? Provide reasons for your answers.

Both variables appear to be highly positively skewed.

In both cases the mean is much larger than the median. For total deaths the mean is 4,900 while the median is 138. For total deaths per million the mean is 127 compared with a median of 37.

(2 marks)

What is the mode for total deaths? Interpret what this value means in the context of the data and whether you think it is informative.

The mode is 0. The most common value for a country is no deaths from covid-19.

Generally, the mode is not so useful when there are many values that a variable can take. In our case it seems unlikely that two countries would have exactly the same number of deaths from     covid-19. So, it seems unlikely that the mode will be particularly useful here. Nevertheless, there do seem to be a number of countries with zero covid-19 deaths.

(2 marks)

In Exhibit 3 we provide descriptive statistics across countries on 2 October 2020 for the variables; population and GDP per capita.

population

Exhibit 3

gdp_per_capita


Mean

37083651.23

Mean

19284.98379

Standard Error

9880221.384

Standard Error

1459.349887

Median

6871287

Median

13031.5265

Mode

#N/A

Mode

#N/A

Standard Deviation

142836703.6

Standard Deviation

19687.70634

Sample Variance

2.04023E+16

Sample Variance

387605781.1

Kurtosis

81.75228927

Kurtosis

4.107205715

Skewness

8.720851148

Skewness

1.767441121

Range

1439322965

Range

116274.36

Minimum

809

Minimum

661.24

Maximum

1439323774

Maximum

116935.6

Sum

7750483107

Sum

3509867.049

Count

209

Count

182

(i).         What is the mean population and GDP per capita of the countries in our data? Also report the units of measurement for each of these values.

Mean population = 37,083,651 persons

Mean GDP per capita = $19,284.98 (i.e. dollars)

(2 marks)

(ii).        The standard error for the population variable is 9880221.384 while the standard

deviation is 142836703.6. Write a formula which shows the relationship between these two values?

9880221.384 = 142836703.6 / sqrt(209)

(1 mark)

(iii).       The value of the mode for GDP per capita is “#NA” . Explain what this means and why

you think this has occurred.

It seems that the mode cannot be meaningfully defined for GDP per capita.

This is most likely to be because every country has a unique value for GDP per capita. So, there is no ‘most common’ value.

(2 marks)