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MSIN0209: Finance Research Project

Research proposal


Dividend policy factors in the FTSE 100 in UK companies:

Application for investors

Subject: S2 (Corporate finance)

Method: M2 (OLS cross-section and time series)


1. Introduction

In Lintner’s study (1956), the dividend payment by a company is correlated to its current        earnings. A company will change its dividend pay-out ratio out of target ratio based on the net profits. Besides, other factors such as liquidity, firm sizes, taxes are found that have a              significant influence on the companies’ dividend payment.

Although there are a large number of papers and researches have studied the corporate           finance, especially dividend policy, most of them focus on the North American markets and   some other developing countries markets. And the methodology they used are various,           including quantitative and qualitative methods. Motivated by the features of the FTSE 100,    the major aim of this study is to find out the correlation between the listed known influencing factors and the dividend policy of FTSE 100. By the process of the test in the study, whether  and how much the listed factors influence the dividend policy can be found out. And this        study can contribute to helping investors to choose the most suitable stocks as well as helping the management optimize the dividend policy from the perspective of listed factors.

2. Theoretical Background and Hypotheses development

The base of quantitative approach is statistical data collection and analysis, including    interviews, observations, audio-visual materials and document review. (Creswell 2014). In this study, the listed factors of dividend policy and hypothesises are:

Tax:

H1: tax is a significant factor for dividend policy.

H1*: tax is not a significant factor for dividend policy.

Firm Size:

H2: firm size is a significant factor for dividend policy.

H2*: firm size is not a significant factor for dividend policy.

Liquidity:

H3: liquidity is a significant factor for dividend policy.

H3*: liquidity is not a significant factor for dividend policy.

Profitability:

H4: profitability is a significant factor for dividend policy.

H4*: profitability is not a significant factor for dividend policy.

In this study, the expected results are that these factors all have significant relationship with dividend pay-out ratio.

3. Possible data sources

The data sources of this study is from the listed companies in the FTSE 100 during the period between 2010 and 2019. The data can be found from public online access, such as Yahoo       finance, and available database, such as Capital IQ and FAME.

4. Empirical Analysis

Firstly, I will do some filtering to the raw data, due to some companies do not show the           financial statements during the time period. And then I will calculate the ratios suitable for the model for uniform comparison between different companies. Next, I will build OLS models   to test these factors significance and make conclusion.

5. Applications

Investors and managements of the companies could use the conclusion of this study to make better decision in the future.

6. Reference list

Abor, J. and Amidu, M. 2006. Determinants of the Dividend payout ratio in Ghana. The Journal of Risk Finance 7(2), pp. 136- 145.

Ahmed, H. and Javid, A. Y. 2008. The determinants of dividend policy in Pakistan.

Baker, H. K. et al. 1985. A survey of management views on dividend policy. Financial management, pp. 78-84.

Baker, H. K. et al. 2001. Factors influencing dividend policy decisions of Nasdaq firms. Financial Review 36(3), pp. 19-38.

Creswell, J. W. 2014. A concise introduction to mixed methods research. SAGE publications

Fama, E. F. and French, K. R. 2001. Disappearing dividends: changing firm characteristics or lower propensity to pay? Journal of Financial economics 60(1), pp. 3-43.

Farrar, D. E. et al. 1967. Taxes, corporate financial policy and return to investors. National Tax Journal 20(4), pp. 444-454.

Frankfurter, G. M. and Wood Jr, B. G. 1997. The evolution of corporate dividend policy. Journal of financial education, pp. 16-33.

Lintner, J. 1956. Distribution of incomes of corporations among dividends, retained earnings, and taxes. The American economic review 46(2), pp. 97- 113.

Michayluk, D. et al. 2007. The perception of dividends by Canadian managers: new survey evidence. International Journal of Managerial Finance,

Miller, M. H. and Modigliani, F. 1961. Dividend policy, growth, and the valuation of shares. the Journal of Business 34(4), pp. 411-433.

Nnadi, M. M. A. and Akpomi, M. M. 2008. The Effect of Taxes on Dividend Policy of Banks in Nigeria. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics (19),

Rozeff, M. S. 1982. Growth, beta and agency costs as determinants of dividend payout ratios. Journal of financial Research 5(3), pp. 249-259.