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ASSIGNMENT 2 (Econ 357)

Winter 2022

Problem 1:

Ann purchases insurance against damage to her phone wires at 45 cent a month, even though the probability that she incurs a repair cost of ✩60 is only 0.4%.

Is such behavior consistent with the rational behavior (it means, does it yield the highest payoff for Ann among all of her feasible choices), given that Ann’s utility function is u = w , and w = 60 is her initial wealth? What about Ann’s choice if her wealth is w = 70?

Suppose that Bob’s wealth is w = 60, and that his utility function is u = w

Suppose that he also purchases the same insurance. Is his purchase of insurance(.)

consistent with the rational behavior? Compare your answer, assuming w = 60,

with Ann’s utility, and explain the difference.

Answer to problem 1: The decision to not purchase insurance is equivalent to having a lottery which pays -60 with probability 0.004, and zero otherwise. A decision to purchase insurance can be thought instead as choosing a lottery which pays -0.45 with certainty.

Therefore, Ann is rational (it means it is optimal for her to purchase insur- ance) if the following is satisfied

u(w − 0.45) = w − 0.45 ≥ 0.004 w − 60 + 0.996 w,

or

w − 0.45 − (0.004 w − 60 + 0.996 w) ≥ 0.

Assuming w  =  60, we get 60 − 0.45 − (0.004 60 − 60 + 0.996 60)  =

therefore it is not rational for Ann to purchase insurance.

Now, suppose w = 60, and assume the utility function w (Bob).  Then, the difference in utility between purchasing, and not purchasing the insurance, becomes:

(w 0.45) 0.004(w − 60) + 0.996(60) = 0.0058.

First, this is positive, and therefore it is rational for Bob to purchase the in- surance.  Second, it is strictly larger than 0.0019, which means that Bob has a bigger interest in purchasing insurance than Ann, assuming the same level of wealth w = 60. This is because Bob dislikes risk more than Ann.

Problem 2:

Ann has a utility function u = w , where w is wealth. She is asked to enter a business venture, which involves a 50-50 chance of an income ✩900, or ✩400, and so the expected value of income from the venture is ✩650.

1. If asked to pay a “fair price” of ✩650 in order to take part in the venture, would she accept?

2. What is the largest sum of money she would be prepared to pay to take part in the venture?

Solution to both parts: The largest amount p that an individual with initial wealth w and the utility function u = w will pay for the prospect which yields either 900 or 400 with equal probabilities is defined by

0.5pw + 900 p + 0.5pw + 400 − p = w .

After some rearrangements  (start by multiplying through by 2, square both sides, rearrange, square both sides again ...) we solve the equation is follows:

p = 650 − 15625

We conclude that the individual will never be willing to pay the expected value of the prospect, but the amount she would pay increases with her initial income.