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Assignment 4:  ERMC_Credit Risk Management ARORA

Details

This is an individual assignment.  If you need assistance, my associate and I are available through normal channels.

Assessment

The entire assignment is worth ten points and the points for each question are listed.  Correct

answers, while important, are not as important as correct analysis.  Show your work.  More credit will be given for correct analysis than for correct final numbers.  Conversely, missing analysis or  incorrect analysis will be more heavily deducted than incorrect final numbers.

Submission

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1.   Click the blue Submit Assignment button at the top of this page.

2.   Click the Choose File button and locate your submission.

3.   Feel free to include a comment with your submission.

Finally, click the blue Submit Assignment button.

Directions

For each question, please provide both the analysis (equations and/or verbal thought processes) and final equations.

1. (4 points) The following is data that is provided for a C&I Firm- Toys Inc.

 

2021

2022

Sales

16,900,000

20,280,000

Net Profit

954,466

1,317,379

Additional Income

0

0

EBITDA

954,466

1,317,379

Operating Cash Flow (OCF)

1,550,795

1,921,808

Debt Service for the Loan

1,488,303

1,488,303

a.  Calculate DSCR (Debt Service Coverage Ratio) for 2021 and 2022.  Assume Operating Cash flow (OCF) reflects the current Income.

b.  Explain what’s driving the DSCR change between the years and in which year is Toys Inc more risky?

2.  (2 points) Through the Cycle (TTC) PD is higher in stressed part of the economic cycle than PIT PD

a. True

b. False

3.  (4 points) Calculate the Z score (using the Z score for private credit), and assess the riskiness of Crazy Inc (a private company)

Assets

 

Liabilities and Equity

 

Current Assets

400,000

Total Current

Liabilities

500,000

Total Fixed Assets

200,000

Total Debt

550,000

 

 

Retained earnings

10,000

 

 

Total Equity

40,000

Total Assets

600,000

Total Liabilities +

Equity

600,000

 

Profit and Loss

 

Sales

100,000

EBIT

5,500

 

 

Formula for Z Score Private Company

. Z-score for Private companies: Z = 1.2 A + 1.4 B + 3.3 C + 0.6 D + E

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