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Assignment 3:  ERMC_Credit Risk Management ARORA

Details

This is an individual assignment.  If you need assistance, my associate and I are available through normal channels.

Assessment

The entire assignment is worth ten points and the points for each question are listed.  Correct

answers, while important, are not as important as correct analysis.  Show your work.  More credit will be given for correct analysis than for correct final numbers.  Conversely, missing analysis or  incorrect analysis will be more heavily deducted than incorrect final numbers.

Submission

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Directions

For each question, please provide both the analysis (equations and/or verbal thought processes) and final equations.

1.   (3 pts) Bank ABC has the following Loans

Loans

Current Utilization

Limit

Credit Line Decrease

Loan 1

25%

10000

0%

Loan 2

10%

20000

20%

Loan 3

90%

5000

10%

Loan 4

60%

30000

30%

a.  What’s the total credit exposure based on the data above before credit line decrease? b.  What’s the total credit exposure post the credit line decrease?

c.  Once credit lines are decreased, no adverse action reason (for the credit line decrease) needs to be provided to the customer?

(i) True

(ii) False

2. (3 points) Based on the data below, calculate the rate mix effect going from year1 to year 2?

Bank 2

 

High Tenure

Low Tenure

Share Y1

60%

40%

Share Y2

70%

30%

Default rate year 1

2.0%

5.0%

Default rate year 2

2.1%

5.2%

Default rate year 1

3.2%

Default rate year 2

3.03%

3. Based on the following transition table (4 points)

 

 

Current Rating

 

 

A

B

C

Default

Rating

previous

period

A

0.85

0.10

0.05

0.00

B

0.01

0.90

0.05

0.04

C

0.05

0.10

0.60

0.25

Default

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.00

Calculate the 2-year cumulative probability of default for C rated credit?