IB3K20 Financial Optimization Exam Paper 2021
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IB3K20
Financial Optimization
Exam Paper
April 2021
[Question 1] (20 marks)
a) Consider a bond which has a maturity of 2 years and pays coupon payments of £75 annually. The bond’s par value is £425, and it is currently trading at £500.
i) Find the yield to maturity and compute the Macaulay duration and convexity. (6 marks)
ii) Derive the new price of the bond using the modified duration and convexity if the yield to maturity increases 1% from the current yield. Verify your answer by deriving the actual price of the bond using the new yield. (7 marks)
b) Suppose that you want to buy a £180,000 flat in Coventry. You get a loan with terms that require a £30,000 deposit and repayment of the rest in monthly instalments in 25 years.
Assume that the interest rate of 8% per annum remains the same for the life of the loan and compounds monthly. What is the monthly payment? (7 marks)
[Question 2] (30 marks)
Consider a portfolio with two risky assets A and B . Let wA and wB denote the weights of assets A and B, respectively.
a) Assume that the mean rates of returns are estimated as 0.015 and 0.012 for assets A and B,
0.007 0.001
Answer the following questions using the Markowitz portfolio allocation model.
i) Compute the expected rate of return and expected risk of the portfolio constructed by assets A and B . Write the mean-variance portfolio allocation model. (6 marks)
ii) Formulate the pure portfolio risk minimization problem . Compute the investment strategy that minimizes the expected portfolio risk. What is the expected portfolio return and risk for the optimal investment strategy? (12 marks)
b) Consider the worst-case analysis for the stochastic portfolio allocation problem that aims to maximize portfolio return subject to the sum of weights is equal to one . Let A and B denote
uncertain rates of returns of assets A and B, respectively. Assume that asset returns belong to the following uncertainty set:
U = {(A, B )|A = 0.015 + A, B = 0.012 + B , A ∈ [−0.01, 0.25], B ∈ [−0.02, 0.35] }
where A and B are random parameters defined within different intervals. Formulate the robust portfolio management problem in view of the uncertainty set. Derive (but do not solve) the robust counterpart of the portfolio allocation problem using the duality theory. (12 marks)
[Question 3] (22 marks)
A large technology company would like to determine the optimal combination of different financial instruments so that their short-term cash requirements during April - September 2021 will be met. They consider three different sources of funding opportunities as bank credit, issue of bonds, and cash investment. They can receive a bank credit up to £200k at the beginning of each month with an interest rate of 1. 1% per month. In each one of the first four months, they plan to issue 60-day commercial paper requiring a total interest of 2.5% for two-month period. Finally, they wish to invest any amount of excess funds remaining at the end of each month with an interest rate of 1.5% per month.
Because of other commitments to large technology projects they run, they forecast two potential scenarios (labelled as Scenarios 1 and 2) with probabilities of 0.35 and 0.65, respectively, for the net cash flow requirements. The following table presents net cash flow requirements (in terms of thousands of pounds) under both scenarios where positive entries represent the cash needs while negative entries correspond to the cash surpluses.
Net Cash Flow Requirement |
April 21 May 21 June 21 July 21 Aug. 21 Sept.21 |
Scenario 1 |
−50 −50 300 −150 250 450 |
Scenario 2 |
−100 −150 200 −250 100 350 |
a) Formulate (but do not solve) the company’s short term financing problem as a linear optimization model that maximizes the average excess funds to be received at the beginning of October 2021. Briefly describe decision variables, constraints and the objective function. (17 marks)
b) Now they would like to ensure that the average excess cash fund must be at least £75k at each month during April - August 2021. Briefly explain how to modify the optimization model developed in part (a) to take into account this condition. (5 marks)
[Question 4] (28 marks)
An investment company would like to construct a portfolio from two risky assets (i = 1, 2) and one risk-free asset (i = 3) to meet their cash requirement at the end of the investment horizon. The investment decisions are made at discrete time periods t = 0,1, … , T where t = 0 represents today. The manager is concerned with restructuring of the portfolio at discrete time periods over the investment horizon. He assumes that the initial capital 0 is to be invested at t = 0 . The cash requirement at t = T is C . In addition, they consider borrowing (as any amount required) at intermediate time periods. In this case, the amount borrowed must be paid off with the same rate of risk-free asset at the next time period. The cost of borrowing (denoted by t ) is proportional to the amount received at time t, and to be paid at the end of investment horizon. The short sale is not allowed at any time period. Moreover, there is no trading and no borrowing at the final stage.
Let hit , sit , and bit denote the amount of asset i to be held, sold, and bought at time t, respectively. The transaction cost qi for selling and buying asset i remains the same over the investment horizon. They aim to maximise the expected wealth at the end of the investment horizon by meeting the cash requirement with the minimum total expected cost of borrowing over the investment horizon.
a) The manager assumes that the rates of returns of risky assets as well as risk-free asset are uncertain and denoted by random variable it for asset i = 1, 2, 3 from time period t − 1 to t . Formulate (but do not solve) the financial planning problem using a stochastic optimization model. Briefly describe decision variables, constraints and objective function. (10 marks)
b) Now, ignore the optimization model developed in part (a). Consider the following scenario tree that is showing a probabilistic representation of random rates of asset returns over two time periods. The two different events (labelled as h and l , respectively) representing high and low levels of asset return realizations are observed during the investment horizon. Labels of nodes including the root node are displayed at the top of nodes as (time period, node number).
The asset return realizations at each node of the scenario tree and the corresponding probabilities are presented in the following table.
Scenarios |
h |
l |
hh |
hl |
lh |
ll |
Asset 1 Asset 2 Asset 3 |
1.05 1.08 0.04 |
0.95 0.98 0.02 |
1.03 1.01 0.05 |
1.15 1.05 0.03 |
1.07 1.03 0.045 |
0.9 0.85 0.035 |
Probability |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
The transaction cost for buying and selling at any time period for any asset is 2%. The cost of borrowing is fixed as 3.5% over the investment horizon. Write down (but do not solve) a scenario- based stochastic programming formulation of the financial planning problem. Clearly describe decision variables and the corresponding constraints. (18 marks)
2023-04-25